Live prediction market odds for Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-23
This market resolved on 2026-01-23. Vegas Golden Knights was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Vegas Golden KnightsWINNER | 99% | 53% |
Toronto Maple Leafs | 3% | 48% |
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Vegas Golden Knights led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto Maple Leafs at 25%.
Vegas Golden Knights held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Vegas Golden Knights, Toronto Maple Leafs at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 46.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Vegas Golden Knights: 99¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Toronto Maple Leafs: 3¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 46.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Vegas Golden Knights would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Vegas Golden Knights
75.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf VGK Golden Knights wins the Vegas at Toronto professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
