Live prediction market odds for Kings vs. Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-18
This market resolved on 2025-12-18. Los Angeles Kings was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 66%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles KingsWINNER | 99% | 33% |
TB Lightning | 1% | 68% |
Kings vs. Lightning was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Los Angeles Kings led the market at 66% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include TB Lightning at 34%.
Los Angeles Kings held the lead at 66% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Kings, TB Lightning at 34% were the next closest contenders. The 66.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Los Angeles Kings: 99¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. TB Lightning: 1¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. The 66.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 66¢ meant the market estimated a 66% chance that Los Angeles Kings would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 66¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 52% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Los Angeles Kings
65.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Los Angeles vs Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
