Live prediction market odds for Maple Leafs vs. Flames. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-02
This market resolved on 2026-02-02. TOR Maple Leafs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
nhl-tor-cal-2026-02-02 : Sports event: Maple Leafs vs. Flames - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TOR Maple LeafsWINNER | 99% | 52% |
Calgary Flames | 1% | 49% |
Maple Leafs vs. Flames was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TOR Maple Leafs led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Calgary Flames at 25%.
TOR Maple Leafs held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TOR Maple Leafs, Calgary Flames at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 47.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TOR Maple Leafs: 99¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Calgary Flames: 1¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 47.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that TOR Maple Leafs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TOR Maple Leafs
75.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TOR Maple Leafs wins the Toronto at Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Feb 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
