Live prediction market odds for Maple Leafs vs. Stars. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-21
This market resolved on 2025-12-21. Dallas Stars was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Dallas StarsWINNER | 99% | 66% |
TOR Maple Leafs | 1% | 35% |
Maple Leafs vs. Stars was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dallas Stars led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include TOR Maple Leafs at 18%.
Dallas Stars held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dallas Stars, TOR Maple Leafs at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 33.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dallas Stars: 99¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. TOR Maple Leafs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 33.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Dallas Stars would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Dallas Stars
82.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf DAL Stars wins the Toronto vs Dallas professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 21, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
