Live prediction market odds for Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-15
This market resolved on 2026-01-15. VGK Golden Knights was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
VGK Golden KnightsWINNER | 99% | 55% |
TOR Maple Leafs | 1% | 46% |
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). VGK Golden Knights led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include TOR Maple Leafs at 23%.
VGK Golden Knights held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind VGK Golden Knights, TOR Maple Leafs at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 44.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: VGK Golden Knights: 99¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. TOR Maple Leafs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 44.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that VGK Golden Knights would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
VGK Golden Knights
76.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf VGK Golden Knights wins the Toronto at Vegas professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
