Live prediction market odds for Maple Leafs vs. Islanders. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-03
This market resolved on 2026-01-03. NYI Islanders was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
NYI IslandersWINNER | 99% | 48% |
TOR Maple Leafs | 1% | 53% |
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). NYI Islanders led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include TOR Maple Leafs at 27%.
NYI Islanders held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind NYI Islanders, TOR Maple Leafs at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 51.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: NYI Islanders: 99¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. TOR Maple Leafs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. The 51.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that NYI Islanders would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
NYI Islanders
73.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf NYI Islanders wins the Toronto vs New York I professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
