Live prediction market odds for Maple Leafs vs. Flyers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-08
This market resolved on 2026-01-08. TOR Maple Leafs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TOR Maple LeafsWINNER | 99% | 47% |
PHI Flyers | 1% | 54% |
Maple Leafs vs. Flyers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TOR Maple Leafs led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include PHI Flyers at 27%.
TOR Maple Leafs held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TOR Maple Leafs, PHI Flyers at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 52.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TOR Maple Leafs: 99¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. PHI Flyers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. The 52.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that TOR Maple Leafs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TOR Maple Leafs
72.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf PHI Flyers wins the Toronto at Philadelphia professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
