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Live prediction market odds for Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-28
This market resolved on 2025-12-28. Detroit Red Wings was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Detroit Red WingsWINNER | 99% | 55% |
Toronto Maple Leafs | 1% | 46% |
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Detroit Red Wings led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto Maple Leafs at 23%.
Detroit Red Wings held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Red Wings, Toronto Maple Leafs at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 44.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Detroit Red Wings: 99¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Toronto Maple Leafs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 44.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that Detroit Red Wings would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Detroit Red Wings
76.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf DET Red Wings wins the Toronto vs Detroit professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.