Question 1

What was "Maple Leafs vs. Canucks" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Maple Leafs vs. Canucks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TOR Maple Leafs led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include VAN Canucks at 21%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Maple Leafs vs. Canucks"?

Accepted Answer

TOR Maple Leafs held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TOR Maple Leafs, VAN Canucks at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 40.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Maple Leafs vs. Canucks" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TOR Maple Leafs: 99¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. VAN Canucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 40.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 79% odds for TOR Maple Leafs mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that TOR Maple Leafs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
TOR Maple LeafsWINNER	99%	59%
VAN Canucks	1%	42%

TOR Maple Leafs Wins: Maple Leafs vs. Canucks

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Maple Leafs vs. Canucks