Live prediction market odds for Maple Leafs vs. Capitals. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-28
This market resolved on 2025-11-28. WSH Capitals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
WSH CapitalsWINNER | 99% | 59% |
WSH CapitalsWINNER | 99% | 31% |
TOR Maple Leafs | 1% | 70% |
TOR Maple Leafs | 1% | 42% |
Maple Leafs vs. Capitals was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). WSH Capitals led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include WSH Capitals at 65%, TOR Maple Leafs at 35%, TOR Maple Leafs at 21%.
WSH Capitals held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind WSH Capitals, WSH Capitals at 65% and TOR Maple Leafs at 35% and TOR Maple Leafs at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 68.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: WSH Capitals: 99¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. WSH Capitals: 99¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. TOR Maple Leafs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. TOR Maple Leafs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 68.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that WSH Capitals would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
WSH Capitals
78.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TOR Maple Leafs wins the Toronto vs Washington professional hockey game scheduled for Nov 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
