About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Wild vs. Flames. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-04
This market resolved on 2025-12-04. Calgary Flames was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Calgary FlamesWINNER | 99% | 47% |
Minnesota Wild | 1% | 53% |
Wild vs. Flames was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Calgary Flames led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Wild at 27%.
Calgary Flames held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Calgary Flames, Minnesota Wild at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 52.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Calgary Flames: 99¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Wild: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. The 52.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that Calgary Flames would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Calgary Flames
73.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf CGY Flames wins the Minnesota vs Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 4, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.