Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Wild vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-24
Minnesota Wild vs. Tampa Bay Lightning — NHL game scheduled for 2026-03-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
TB Lightning leads the “Minnesota Wild vs. Tampa Bay Lightning” event at 57.5% implied probability, followed by Minnesota Wild at 43.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Minnesota Wild vs. Tampa Bay Lightning is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Minnesota Wild at 44%.
TB Lightning currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind TB Lightning, Minnesota Wild at 44% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 58¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Wild: 44¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that TB Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
TB Lightning
57.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Minnesota at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 24 at 7:30PM ET: If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
