Live prediction market odds for Canadiens vs. Senators. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-17
This market resolved on 2026-01-17. Montreal Canadiens was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Montreal CanadiensWINNER | 99% | 47% |
OTT Senators | 1% | 54% |
Canadiens vs. Senators was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Montreal Canadiens led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include OTT Senators at 27%.
Montreal Canadiens held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Montreal Canadiens, OTT Senators at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 52.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Montreal Canadiens: 99¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. OTT Senators: 1¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. The 52.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that Montreal Canadiens would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Montreal Canadiens
72.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf OTT Senators wins the Montreal at Ottawa professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
