Live prediction market odds for Canadiens vs. Penguins. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-21
This market resolved on 2025-12-21. PIT Penguins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PIT PenguinsWINNER | 99% | 50% |
Montreal Canadiens | 1% | 51% |
Canadiens vs. Penguins was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). PIT Penguins led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Montreal Canadiens at 26%.
PIT Penguins held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind PIT Penguins, Montreal Canadiens at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: PIT Penguins: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Montreal Canadiens: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. The 49.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that PIT Penguins would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
PIT Penguins
74.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf PIT Penguins wins the Montreal vs Pittsburgh professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 21, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
