Live prediction market odds for Canadiens vs. Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-28
This market resolved on 2025-12-28. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 96% |
Montreal Canadiens | 1% | 4% |
Canadiens vs. Lightning was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Montreal Canadiens at 2%.
TB Lightning held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, Montreal Canadiens at 2% were the next closest contenders. A 2.9% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 96¢ on Polymarket. Montreal Canadiens: 1¢ on Kalshi, 4¢ on Polymarket. The 2.9% spread showed moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 98¢ meant the market estimated a 98% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 98¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 2% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TB Lightning
97.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Montreal vs Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
