Live prediction market odds for Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-31
This market resolved on 2026-03-31. Montreal Canadiens was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning — NHL game held on 2026-03-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Montreal CanadiensWINNER | 99% | 40% | 95% |
Tampa Bay Lightning | 1% | 61% | 57% |
Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Montreal Canadiens led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Tampa Bay Lightning at 40%.
Montreal Canadiens held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Montreal Canadiens, Tampa Bay Lightning at 40% were the next closest contenders. The 59.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Montreal Canadiens: 99¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Tampa Bay Lightning: 1¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket, 57¢ on ProphetX. The 59.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Montreal Canadiens would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Montreal at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 31 at 7:00PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Montreal Canadiens
77.9% avg
