Live prediction market odds for Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-31
Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning — NHL game scheduled for 2026-03-31. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
TB Lightning leads the “Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning” event at 58.3% implied probability, followed by Montreal Canadiens at 41.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Montreal Canadiens at 42%.
TB Lightning currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind TB Lightning, Montreal Canadiens at 42% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 58¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Montreal Canadiens: 42¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that TB Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
TB Lightning
58.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Montreal at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 31 at 7:00PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
