Live prediction market odds for Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-04-19
Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning — NHL game scheduled for 2026-04-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tampa Bay Lightning leads the “Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning” event at 62.5% implied probability, followed by Montreal Canadiens at 38.4%. A 1.4% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Tampa Bay Lightning leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Montreal Canadiens at 38%.
Tampa Bay Lightning currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Tampa Bay Lightning, Montreal Canadiens at 38% are the next closest contenders. A 1.4% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Tampa Bay Lightning: 62¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket, 63¢ on ProphetX. Montreal Canadiens: 38¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket, 39¢ on ProphetX. The 1.4% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that Tampa Bay Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf MTL Canadiens wins the Game 1: Montreal at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 19 at 5:45PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Tampa Bay Lightning
62.5% avg
