Live prediction market odds for Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning — NHL game scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tampa Bay Lightning leads the “Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning” event at 59.3% implied probability, followed by Montreal Canadiens at 30.5%. A 26.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tampa Bay Lightning leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Montreal Canadiens at 31%.
Tampa Bay Lightning currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Tampa Bay Lightning, Montreal Canadiens at 31% are the next closest contenders. The 26.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tampa Bay Lightning: 46¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. Montreal Canadiens: 34¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. The 26.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Tampa Bay Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Tampa Bay Lightning
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Game 2: Montreal at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
59.3% avg
