Live prediction market odds for Islanders vs. Capitals. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-02
This market resolved on 2026-02-02. WSH Capitals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
nhl-nyi-wsh-2026-02-02 : Sports event: Islanders vs. Capitals - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
WSH CapitalsWINNER | 99% | 55% |
NYI Islanders | 1% | 46% |
Islanders vs. Capitals was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). WSH Capitals led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include NYI Islanders at 23%.
WSH Capitals held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind WSH Capitals, NYI Islanders at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 44.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: WSH Capitals: 99¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. NYI Islanders: 1¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 44.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that WSH Capitals would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
WSH Capitals
76.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf WSH Capitals wins the New York I at Washington professional hockey game scheduled for Feb 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
