Question 1

What was "Senators vs. Hurricanes" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Senators vs. Hurricanes was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Carolina Hurricanes led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include OTT Senators at 20%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Senators vs. Hurricanes"?

Accepted Answer

Carolina Hurricanes held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Carolina Hurricanes, OTT Senators at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 37.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Senators vs. Hurricanes" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Carolina Hurricanes: 99¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. OTT Senators: 1¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 37.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 80% odds for Carolina Hurricanes mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Carolina Hurricanes would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Carolina HurricanesWINNER	99%	62%
OTT Senators	1%	39%

Carolina Hurricanes Wins: Senators vs. Hurricanes

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Senators vs. Hurricanes