Live prediction market odds for Flyers vs. Maple Leafs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-02
nhl-phi-tor-2026-03-02 : Sports event: Flyers vs. Maple Leafs - nhl
Toronto Maple Leafs leads the “Flyers vs. Maple Leafs” event at 54.1% implied probability, followed by Philadelphia Flyers at 48.6%. A 7.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Toronto Maple Leafs leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Philadelphia Flyers at 49%.
Toronto Maple Leafs currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Toronto Maple Leafs, Philadelphia Flyers at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 7.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Toronto Maple Leafs: 55¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket, 54¢ on ProphetX. Philadelphia Flyers: 46¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket, 53¢ on ProphetX. The 7.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Toronto Maple Leafs will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Toronto Maple Leafs
54.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf PHI Flyers wins the Philadelphia at Toronto professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
