Live prediction market odds for Penguins vs. Flames. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-21
This market resolved on 2026-01-21. PIT Penguins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PIT PenguinsWINNER | 99% | 53% |
Calgary Flames | 1% | 48% |
Penguins vs. Flames was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). PIT Penguins led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Calgary Flames at 24%.
PIT Penguins held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind PIT Penguins, Calgary Flames at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 46.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: PIT Penguins: 99¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Calgary Flames: 1¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 46.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that PIT Penguins would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
PIT Penguins
75.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf PIT Penguins wins the Pittsburgh at Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
