About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Penguins vs. Stars. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-07
This market resolved on 2025-12-07. Dallas Stars was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Dallas StarsWINNER | 99% | 52% |
PIT Penguins | 1% | 48% |
Penguins vs. Stars was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dallas Stars led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include PIT Penguins at 25%.
Dallas Stars held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dallas Stars, PIT Penguins at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 47.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dallas Stars: 99¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. PIT Penguins: 1¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 47.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Dallas Stars would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Dallas Stars
75.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf DAL Stars wins the Pittsburgh vs Dallas professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 7, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.