Live prediction market odds for Penguins vs. Maple Leafs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-23
This market resolved on 2025-12-23. TOR Maple Leafs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TOR Maple LeafsWINNER | 99% | 100% |
PIT Penguins | 1% | 5% |
Penguins vs. Maple Leafs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TOR Maple Leafs led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include PIT Penguins at 3%.
TOR Maple Leafs held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TOR Maple Leafs, PIT Penguins at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TOR Maple Leafs: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. PIT Penguins: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that TOR Maple Leafs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TOR Maple Leafs
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TOR Maple Leafs wins the Pittsburgh vs Toronto professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 23, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
