Live prediction market odds for Penguins vs. Flyers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-01
This market resolved on 2025-12-01. PIT Penguins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 72%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PIT PenguinsWINNER | 99% | 46% |
PHI Flyers | 1% | 55% |
Penguins vs. Flyers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). PIT Penguins led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include PHI Flyers at 28%.
PIT Penguins held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind PIT Penguins, PHI Flyers at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 53.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: PIT Penguins: 99¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. PHI Flyers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. The 53.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 72¢ meant the market estimated a 72% chance that PIT Penguins would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 72¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 39% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
PIT Penguins
72.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf PHI Flyers wins the Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
