About This Market
Sharenhl-pit-las-2026-03-12 : Sports event: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights - nhl
Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-12
This market resolved on 2026-03-12. Vegas Golden Knights was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 59%.
nhl-pit-las-2026-03-12 : Sports event: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights - nhl
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Vegas Golden KnightsWINNER | 99% | 59% | 56% |
Pittsburgh Penguins | 1% | 42% | 48% |
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Vegas Golden Knights led the market at 71% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Pittsburgh Penguins at 30%.
Vegas Golden Knights held the lead at 71% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Vegas Golden Knights, Pittsburgh Penguins at 30% were the next closest contenders. The 47.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Vegas Golden Knights: 99¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket, 56¢ on ProphetX. Pittsburgh Penguins: 1¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket, 48¢ on ProphetX. The 47.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ meant the market estimated a 71% chance that Vegas Golden Knights would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 71¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 41% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Vegas Golden Knights
71.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf PIT Penguins wins the Pittsburgh at Vegas professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.