Live prediction market odds for Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-21
This market resolved on 2026-01-21. Detroit Red Wings was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Detroit Red WingsWINNER | 99% | 46% |
TOR Maple Leafs | 1% | 54% |
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Detroit Red Wings led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include TOR Maple Leafs at 28%.
Detroit Red Wings held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Red Wings, TOR Maple Leafs at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 53.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Detroit Red Wings: 99¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. TOR Maple Leafs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. The 53.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that Detroit Red Wings would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Detroit Red Wings
72.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TOR Maple Leafs wins the Detroit at Toronto professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
