Question 1

What was "Sharks vs. Blackhawks" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Sharks vs. Blackhawks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Chicago Blackhawks led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include SJ Sharks at 26%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Sharks vs. Blackhawks"?

Accepted Answer

Chicago Blackhawks held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Chicago Blackhawks, SJ Sharks at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 50.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Sharks vs. Blackhawks" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Chicago Blackhawks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. SJ Sharks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. The 50.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 74% odds for Chicago Blackhawks mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Chicago Blackhawks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Chicago BlackhawksWINNER	99%	49%
SJ Sharks	1%	52%

Chicago Blackhawks Wins: Sharks vs. Blackhawks

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Sharks vs. Blackhawks