Live prediction market odds for Kraken vs. Flames. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-18
This market resolved on 2025-12-18. Calgary Flames was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Calgary FlamesWINNER | 99% | 62% |
SEA Kraken | 99% | 44% |
Calgary FlamesWINNER | 1% | 57% |
SEA Kraken | 1% | 39% |
Kraken vs. Flames was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Calgary Flames led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include SEA Kraken at 71%, Calgary Flames at 29%, SEA Kraken at 20%.
Calgary Flames held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Calgary Flames, SEA Kraken at 71% and Calgary Flames at 29% and SEA Kraken at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 55.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Calgary Flames: 99¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. SEA Kraken: 99¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Calgary Flames: 1¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. SEA Kraken: 1¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 55.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Calgary Flames would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Calgary Flames
80.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf CGY Flames wins the Seattle vs Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
