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Live prediction market odds for Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

2026-03-26

About This Market

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Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning — NHL game scheduled for 2026-03-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Tampa Bay Lightning leads the “Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning” event at 44.6% implied probability, followed by Seattle Kraken at 59.0%. A 70.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
TB
Tampa Bay LightningARB
45% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket72¢
ProphetX61¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
72.0%72¢72¢29¢29¢
ProphetXProphetX
61.0%61¢61¢50¢50¢
SK
Seattle KrakenARB
60% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket29¢
ProphetX50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
99.5%99¢100¢0¢1¢
PolymarketPolymarket
29.0%29¢29¢72¢72¢
ProphetXProphetX
50.0%50¢50¢61¢61¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning" and why does it matter?

Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Tampa Bay Lightning leads at 45% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Seattle Kraken at 59%.

What is moving the odds on "Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning"?

Tampa Bay Lightning currently leads at 45% implied probability. Behind Tampa Bay Lightning, Seattle Kraken at 59% are the next closest contenders. The 70.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Tampa Bay Lightning: 1¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket, 61¢ on ProphetX. Seattle Kraken: 99¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket, 50¢ on ProphetX. The 70.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Tampa Bay Lightning is at 45%?

A price of 45¢ means the market estimates a 45% probability that Tampa Bay Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 45¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 122% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread70.5%
Platforms3

Market Rulebook: Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If SEA Kraken wins the Seattle at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
Candidates2
Leader

Tampa Bay Lightning

44.6% avg

No price history available