Live prediction market odds for Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-26
Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning — NHL game scheduled for 2026-03-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
TB Lightning leads the “Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning” event at 65.8% implied probability, followed by SEA Kraken at 34.8%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include SEA Kraken at 35%.
TB Lightning currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind TB Lightning, SEA Kraken at 35% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 65¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. SEA Kraken: 36¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that TB Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
TB Lightning
65.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf SEA Kraken wins the Seattle at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
