Live prediction market odds for Blues vs. Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-22
This market resolved on 2025-12-22. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 70% |
STL Blues | 1% | 31% |
Blues vs. Lightning was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include STL Blues at 16%.
TB Lightning held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, STL Blues at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 29.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. STL Blues: 1¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. The 29.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TB Lightning
84.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the St. Louis vs Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 22, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
