Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo Sabres. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-06
This market resolved on 2026-04-06. Buffalo Sabres was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo Sabres — NHL game held on 2026-04-06. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Buffalo SabresWINNER | 99% | 48% | 77% |
Tampa Bay Lightning | 1% | 52% | 34% |
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo Sabres was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Buffalo Sabres led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Tampa Bay Lightning at 29%.
Buffalo Sabres held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Buffalo Sabres, Tampa Bay Lightning at 29% were the next closest contenders. The 51.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Buffalo Sabres: 99¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket, 77¢ on ProphetX. Tampa Bay Lightning: 1¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket, 34¢ on ProphetX. The 51.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Buffalo Sabres would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay at Buffalo professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 6 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Buffalo Sabres
74.5% avg
