Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-22
nhl-tb-cal-2026-03-22 : Sports event: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames - nhl
TB Lightning leads the “Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames” event at 62.0% implied probability, followed by Calgary Flames at 38.5%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Calgary Flames at 39%.
TB Lightning currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind TB Lightning, Calgary Flames at 39% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 63¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Calgary Flames: 38¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that TB Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
TB Lightning
62.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf CGY Flames wins the Tampa Bay at Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 22 at 8:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
