Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-21
nhl-tb-edm-2026-03-21 : Sports event: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers - nhl
TB Lightning leads the “Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers” event at 50.8% implied probability, followed by Edmonton Oilers at 48.5%. A 11.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Edmonton Oilers at 49%.
TB Lightning currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind TB Lightning, Edmonton Oilers at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 11.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 45¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Edmonton Oilers: 54¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 11.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that TB Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
TB Lightning
50.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay at Edmonton professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 21 at 10:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
