Live prediction market odds for Lightning vs. Panthers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-27
This market resolved on 2025-12-27. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 52% |
Florida Panthers | 1% | 48% |
Lightning vs. Panthers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Florida Panthers at 25%.
TB Lightning held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, Florida Panthers at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 47.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Florida Panthers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 47.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TB Lightning
75.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay vs Florida professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 27, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
