Live prediction market odds for Lightning vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-01
This market resolved on 2026-01-01. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 48% |
Los Angeles Kings | 1% | 53% |
Lightning vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Los Angeles Kings at 27%.
TB Lightning held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, Los Angeles Kings at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 51.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Los Angeles Kings: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. The 51.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TB Lightning
73.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf LA Kings wins the Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
