Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-09
This market resolved on 2026-04-09. Montreal Canadiens was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 54%.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens — NHL game held on 2026-04-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Montreal CanadiensWINNER | 99% | 48% | 54% |
Tampa Bay Lightning | 1% | 53% | 57% |
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Montreal Canadiens led the market at 67% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Tampa Bay Lightning at 37%.
Montreal Canadiens held the lead at 67% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Montreal Canadiens, Tampa Bay Lightning at 37% were the next closest contenders. The 56.4% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Montreal Canadiens: 99¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket, 54¢ on ProphetX. Tampa Bay Lightning: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket, 57¢ on ProphetX. The 56.4% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 67¢ meant the market estimated a 67% chance that Montreal Canadiens would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 67¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 49% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay at Montreal professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 9 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Montreal Canadiens
67.0% avg
