Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-24
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens — NHL game scheduled for 2026-04-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tampa Bay Lightning leads the “Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens” event at 51.5% implied probability, followed by Montreal Canadiens at 48.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tampa Bay Lightning leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Montreal Canadiens at 49%.
Tampa Bay Lightning currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Tampa Bay Lightning, Montreal Canadiens at 49% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tampa Bay Lightning: 51¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Montreal Canadiens: 49¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Tampa Bay Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Tampa Bay Lightning
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Game 3: Tampa Bay at Montreal professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 24 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
51.5% avg
