Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-26
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens — NHL game scheduled for 2026-04-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Montreal Canadiens leads the “Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens” event at 59.0% implied probability, followed by Tampa Bay Lightning at 50.0%. A 21.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Montreal Canadiens leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tampa Bay Lightning at 50%.
Montreal Canadiens currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Montreal Canadiens, Tampa Bay Lightning at 50% are the next closest contenders. The 21.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Montreal Canadiens: 70¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Tampa Bay Lightning: 49¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. The 21.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Montreal Canadiens will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Montreal Canadiens
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Game 4: Tampa Bay at Montreal professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
59.0% avg
