Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-01
This market resolved on 2026-05-01. Tampa Bay Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 57%.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens — NHL game held on 2026-05-01. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay LightningWINNER | 99% | 51% | 57% |
Montreal Canadiens | 1% | 49% | 52% |
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Tampa Bay Lightning led the market at 69% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Montreal Canadiens at 34%.
Tampa Bay Lightning held the lead at 69% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tampa Bay Lightning, Montreal Canadiens at 34% were the next closest contenders. The 51.4% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Tampa Bay Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket, 57¢ on ProphetX. Montreal Canadiens: 1¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket, 52¢ on ProphetX. The 51.4% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 69¢ meant the market estimated a 69% chance that Tampa Bay Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 69¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 45% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf MTL Canadiens wins the Game 6: Tampa Bay at Montreal professional hockey game scheduled for May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 1 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Tampa Bay Lightning
69.1% avg
