Live prediction market odds for Lightning vs. Islanders. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-02
This market resolved on 2025-12-02. NYI Islanders was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
NYI IslandersWINNER | 99% | 49% |
NYI IslandersWINNER | 99% | 48% |
TB Lightning | 1% | 53% |
TB Lightning | 1% | 52% |
Lightning vs. Islanders was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). NYI Islanders led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include NYI Islanders at 73%, TB Lightning at 27%, TB Lightning at 26%.
NYI Islanders held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind NYI Islanders, NYI Islanders at 73% and TB Lightning at 27% and TB Lightning at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 51.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: NYI Islanders: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. NYI Islanders: 99¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. TB Lightning: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. TB Lightning: 1¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. The 51.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that NYI Islanders would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
NYI Islanders
73.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf NYI Islanders wins the Tampa Bay vs New York I professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 2, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
