Live prediction market odds for Lightning vs. Rangers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-29
This market resolved on 2025-11-29. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Lightning vs. Rangers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution.
TB Lightning held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TB Lightning
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay vs New York R professional hockey game scheduled for Nov 29, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
