Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-07
This market resolved on 2026-04-07. Ottawa Senators was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 87%.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators — NHL game held on 2026-04-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Ottawa SenatorsWINNER | 99% | 56% | 87% |
Tampa Bay Lightning | 1% | 45% | 16% |
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Ottawa Senators led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Tampa Bay Lightning at 20%.
Ottawa Senators held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Ottawa Senators, Tampa Bay Lightning at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 43.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Ottawa Senators: 99¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket, 87¢ on ProphetX. Tampa Bay Lightning: 1¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket, 16¢ on ProphetX. The 43.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Ottawa Senators would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay at Ottawa professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 7 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Ottawa Senators
80.5% avg
