Live prediction market odds for Lightning vs. Flyers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-10
This market resolved on 2026-01-10. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 63% |
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 57% |
PHI Flyers | 1% | 44% |
PHI Flyers | 1% | 38% |
Lightning vs. Flyers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include TB Lightning at 78%, PHI Flyers at 22%, PHI Flyers at 19%.
TB Lightning held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, TB Lightning at 78% and PHI Flyers at 22% and PHI Flyers at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 42.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. PHI Flyers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. PHI Flyers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 42.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TB Lightning
80.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf PHI Flyers wins the Tampa Bay at Philadelphia professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
