Live prediction market odds for Lightning vs. Red Wings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-28
This market resolved on 2025-11-28. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Detroit Red Wings | 1% | 0% |
Lightning vs. Red Wings was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Detroit Red Wings at 1%.
TB Lightning held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, Detroit Red Wings at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Detroit Red Wings: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TB Lightning
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay vs Detroit professional hockey game scheduled for Nov 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
