Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle Kraken. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-17
nhl-tb-sea-2026-03-17 : Sports event: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle Kraken - nhl
TB Lightning leads the “Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle Kraken” event at 63.1% implied probability, followed by SEA Kraken at 37.7%. A 1.2% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle Kraken is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). TB Lightning leads at 63% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include SEA Kraken at 38%.
TB Lightning currently leads at 63% implied probability. Behind TB Lightning, SEA Kraken at 38% are the next closest contenders. A 1.2% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: TB Lightning: 63¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket, 64¢ on ProphetX. SEA Kraken: 38¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket, 38¢ on ProphetX. The 1.2% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 63¢ means the market estimates a 63% probability that TB Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 63¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 59% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
TB Lightning
63.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay at Seattle professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 17 at 10:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetX{'note': 'Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules', 'rules_url': 'https://prophethelp.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/4675703326481-ProphetX-Prediction-Rules'}
