Live prediction market odds for Lightning vs. Blues. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-16
This market resolved on 2026-01-16. STL Blues was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 67%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
STL BluesWINNER | 99% | 35% |
TB Lightning | 1% | 66% |
Lightning vs. Blues was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). STL Blues led the market at 67% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include TB Lightning at 33%.
STL Blues held the lead at 67% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind STL Blues, TB Lightning at 33% were the next closest contenders. The 64.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: STL Blues: 99¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. TB Lightning: 1¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. The 64.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 67¢ meant the market estimated a 67% chance that STL Blues would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 67¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 49% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
STL Blues
66.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf STL Blues wins the Tampa Bay at St. Louis professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
