Live prediction market odds for Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-21
This market resolved on 2026-03-21. Ottawa Senators was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nhl-tor-ott-2026-03-21 : Sports event: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Ottawa SenatorsWINNER | 99% | 73% | 99% |
Toronto Maple Leafs | 1% | 28% | 3% |
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Ottawa Senators led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto Maple Leafs at 11%.
Ottawa Senators held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Ottawa Senators, Toronto Maple Leafs at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 26.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Ottawa Senators: 99¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Toronto Maple Leafs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 26.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that Ottawa Senators would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf TOR Maple Leafs wins the Toronto at Ottawa professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Ottawa Senators
90.1% avg
