Live prediction market odds for Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-21
nhl-tor-ott-2026-03-21 : Sports event: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators - nhl
OTT Senators leads the “Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators” event at 71.5% implied probability, followed by TOR Maple Leafs at 29.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). OTT Senators leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include TOR Maple Leafs at 30%.
OTT Senators currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind OTT Senators, TOR Maple Leafs at 30% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: OTT Senators: 72¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. TOR Maple Leafs: 30¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 72¢ means the market estimates a 72% probability that OTT Senators will be the outcome. Buying one share at 72¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 39% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
OTT Senators
71.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf TOR Maple Leafs wins the Toronto at Ottawa professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
