Live prediction market odds for Utah vs. Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-26
This market resolved on 2026-01-26. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 62% |
UTA Mammoth | 1% | 39% |
Utah vs. Lightning was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UTA Mammoth at 20%.
TB Lightning held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, UTA Mammoth at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 37.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. UTA Mammoth: 1¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 37.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TB Lightning
80.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UTA Mammoth wins the Utah at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
