Question 1

What was "Canucks vs. Golden Knights" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Canucks vs. Golden Knights was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). VGK Golden Knights led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include VAN Canucks at 14%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Canucks vs. Golden Knights"?

Accepted Answer

VGK Golden Knights held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind VGK Golden Knights, VAN Canucks at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 26.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Canucks vs. Golden Knights" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: VGK Golden Knights: 99¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. VAN Canucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. The 26.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 86% odds for VGK Golden Knights mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that VGK Golden Knights would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
VGK Golden KnightsWINNER	99%	73%
VAN Canucks	1%	28%

VGK Golden Knights Wins: Canucks vs. Golden Knights

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Canucks vs. Golden Knights